Real Estate Outlook 2007: The Great American Iced Lemonade!

Did anyone out there ever coined the phraseeconomy, in order to make workers earn income
‘The New Era Of American Socialism' yet? Wellsufficient enough so that they can go to the bank, get
alright, that is unfair. After all Real Estate was slidinga loan and go shopping for real estate. Thus, it is going
downwards even before the Democrats took overto take equally long for demand to jump and prices to
the House and Senate, and Nancy Pelosi became theincrease as well. This is so because demand is in
Speaker to be. However, it can be safely stated thatdirect function of underlying personal income. An
the recent mid-term elections have not exactly shed aincrease in personal income will encourage investment
ray of hope on the already faltering housing prices. Soto a higher degree, which, in turn, will spur demand
now, in light of the entirely new and revolutionarycausing a proximate levitation of prices and
political landscape in Capitol Hill, what are mundanesubsequent economic expansion.A second but equally
folks like you and I supposed to do?Sure, the socialimportant flip side is how foreign investors and
agenda of the Democratic Party in general, and thedebt-holding nations are going to view this sudden shift
personal ‘socialist' agenda of Congresswomanto the left of the American behemoth, and whether
and Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi (D-Cal.) inemerging economies such as India and China will
particular take somehow the breeze out of thecontinue to finance America's spending habits.
investment world, both as it relates to Real Estate andConfidence in the U.S. Treasury is out of the question,
the Stock Market. But when it comes to Real Estate,but how convenient is it going to be for foreigners to
however, there are some positive notes worthcontinue investing in an America tilted definitely to the
mentioning.Housing supply is produced using land, labour,left?Many economists have long been expecting
and various inputs such as electricity and buildingAmerica's widening current account deficit to cause a
materials. The quantity of new supply is determined byfinancial meltdown in the Dollar, and the main reason as
the cost of these inputs, the price of the existing stockto why this has not happened yet is that emerging
of houses, and the technology of production.economies have been happy to finance the deficit. In
Essentially, the production of real estate output2005 India, China, South Korea and Japan (not an
depends on the accumulation of capital, which requiresemerging economy but a very important debt-holder
a constant supply of labour force that can conservenonetheless) ran a combined current account surplus
and add value to inputs and capital assets, thusof about USD 2 trillions, a large chunk of which was
creating a higher value.The rationale behind this is thatreinvested in American Treasury securities. It is all to
labour adds value by satisfying demand throughbe seen, however, whether the Asian Tigers will
production, since when people work and acquirecontinue to find the convenience in investing their
income they tend to invest it, and the more people thatforeign cash reserves in American securities or if
work and acquire income the more people that tend toinstead they are going to withdraw their support of the
invest it. Therefore, there is a correlation betweenAmerican capitalistic system, especially if such system
capital and employment in real estate or, if you will,will be perceived increasingly as shifting much too
between income and labour. An increase in levels ofmuch to the left.Buy purchasing Dollar assets the Asian
consumption sets forth an increase in prices causedeconomies and Japan are subsidizing American
by a corresponding increase in demand, in itselfconsumers, encouraging too little saving on our part
generated by a commensurate increase in theand too much spending. But should they decide not to
income-employment factor.It follows, therefore, thatbuy anymore and in fact to cash in, the American
growth is derived by the equilibrium of capital andeconomy is likely to suffer a real hard landing. This is
investment with labour and employment. And since,the reason why it is important to monitor and
furthermore, production is in direct function ofunderstand how developments in the world economies
consumer-spending which increases as unemploymentaffect the balance between domestic demand and
falls, it follows that capital accumulation increases assupply. Exchange rate movements tell something
employment rises and capital accumulation decreasesabout economic developments that may be having a
as employment falls.Therefore, seen from thisdirect impact on aggregate demand.By monitoring the
perspective, the Democratic agenda of both increasingfluctuations of the Dollar in the forthcoming months it
minimum wages and put people at work through morewill be possible, therefore, to anticipate whether the
direct governmental intervention than the RepublicansCentral Bank will ease or tighten monetary policy by
otherwise would like to see, finds in fact its long-termstimulating the economy through lower interest rates or
benefits in Real Estate. It is a statement of fact that, inby reducing the stimulus through higher interest rates.
retrospective, many workers in North America haveAnd, therefore, it will be possible to predict the impact
missed out and are missing out on the rewards ofthat anticipated shifts in interest rates will have on
globalization, so trumpeted about by both the presentdemand for domestic real capital assets. Clearly, in the
Chairman of the Federal Reserve System, Prof.eventuality that demand for U.S. Treasury bonds will
Bernanke, as well as the former Chairman,abate, the Federal Reserve will have no other choice
‘Maestro' Alan Greenspan.Rich countries haveunder the present circumstances but to raise interest
democratic governments, so continued support for therates, so as to continue to attract foreign capitals and
globalization process will depend in large part on howthus contributing to a further slowdown in the domestic
prosperous the average worker feels. Yet in thehousing markets.Should a forced rate increase actually
United States real wages have been flat or eventake place in 2007 to maintain the momentum with
falling these past few years while, at the same time,foreign debt-holders, that would really fly in the face of
capitalists and large corporations have never had it soall those analysts and commentators who have
good. In America specifically, profits as a share ofassumed that a vote for the Democrats would
GDP are at an all-time high of about 15.5 percent, andcontribute to a rate settling.Certainly we are entering
Corporate America has increased its share of nationalinto a period of financial uncertainty, all the more
income from seven percent in 2001 to thirteen percentremarked by what promises to be an economic - if
this year.In fact the primary culprit and cause of thenot political - stalemate between a conservative White
slowdown in Real Estate is the ratio between wagesHouse and a liberal Congress. And should this
and real estate market values. This ratio is entirelystalemate translate into higher interest rates, the soft
skewed to values. Whereas market values inlanding that Chairman Bernanke was mentioning only
metropolitan areas have appreciated an average ofthis past July may very well become in 2007 a distant,
fifteen percent per year through 2005 inclusive - or awishful dream.Luigi FrascatiLuigi Frascati is a Real
total of seventy-five percent since 2000 - salariesEstate Agent based in Vancouver, British Columbia. He
have increased an average four percent per annum -holds a Bachelor Degree in Economics and maintains a
or twenty percent total. There is, therefore, a fifty-fiveweblog entitled the Real Estate Chronicle where you
percent gap, which accounts for the problem buyerscan find the full collection of his articles on Real Estate
are facing today when it comes to go to the bank andEconomics and Finance. Luigi is associated with the
qualifying for a loan. In this sense, therefore, aSutton Group, the largest real estate organization in
redistribution of income from capital to labour is nowCanada, and is based with Sutton-Centre Realty in
due.The flip side of the Democratic agenda, however,Burnaby, BC.Luigi is very proud to be an EzineArticles
is that it is going to take a long time for governmentPlatinum Expert Author. Your rating at the footer of
economic intervention to get a foothold in thethis Article is very much appreciated. Thank you.