Horse Racing - Handicapping Class and Ability

Betting on horse races requires an assessment ofan assessment of each runner in a race in order to
each runner in a race in order to assess each horse'sassess each horse's chances of winning. It isn't enough
chances of winning. It isn't enough to look at ato look at a contender and think, "That is a pretty good
contender and think, "That is a pretty good horse, Ihorse, I guess I'll bet on that one."
guess I'll bet on that one."Handicapping and knowing each horse's potential for
Handicapping and knowing each horse's potential forsuccess is the only way to make money. Each horse
success is the only way to make money. Each horsehas to be compared to each other horse and to the
has to be compared to each other horse and to thefield as well. One way that many people handicap is
field as well. One way that many people handicap isby figuring out the pace scenario for the race and then
by figuring out the pace scenario for the race and thenestimating how that pace will affect each runner.
estimating how that pace will affect each runner.It can be a long drawn out and tedious procedure, but
It can be a long drawn out and tedious procedure, butit must be done. This is also the process for estimating
it must be done. This is also the process for estimatingthe class of the runners. Class is one of the most
the class of the runners. Class is one of the mostimportant factors in finding good horse racing bets.
important factors in finding good horse racing bets.Class is also one of the most misunderstood factors in
Class is also one of the most misunderstood factors inrating race horses.
rating race horses.The problem is that, unless a horse can win at a
The problem is that, unless a horse can win at acertain level, it is very hard to tell how hard a horse
certain level, it is very hard to tell how hard a horsereally tried in a race. Some horse will race hard to the
really tried in a race. Some horse will race hard to theend of a race even when they are outclassed and
end of a race even when they are outclassed andthey know it. Other horses will simply run along behind
they know it. Other horses will simply run along behindthe field turning in a lackluster performance that doesn't
the field turning in a lackluster performance that doesn'tindicate their true ability.
indicate their true ability.What that means is that, while a horse may have had
What that means is that, while a horse may have hadenough ability to run within five lengths of the winner,
enough ability to run within five lengths of the winner,because it realized it couldn't catch the winner it faded
because it realized it couldn't catch the winner it fadedto last and didn't look like it could compete at all. These
to last and didn't look like it could compete at all. Theseare the most dangerous horses for a handicapper to
are the most dangerous horses for a handicapper totry to figure out. Their past performances look dismal
try to figure out. Their past performances look dismaland yet, when they drop a notch or two they win
and yet, when they drop a notch or two they wineasily.
easily.That is often when the cry of foul or race fixing can
That is often when the cry of foul or race fixing canbe heard. Sometimes, unfortunately, that is true and it
be heard. Sometimes, unfortunately, that is true and itwas the jockey and trainer who stiffed the horse in
was the jockey and trainer who stiffed the horse inorder to make an easy score at a lower grade and
order to make an easy score at a lower grade andstill get a good price at the windows. Mot of the time,
still get a good price at the windows. Mot of the time,though, the fault lies with the horse. It was just too
though, the fault lies with the horse. It was just toosmart to extend itself in a losing effort.
smart to extend itself in a losing effort.The responsibility then lies with the handicapper to
The responsibility then lies with the handicapper toknow how hard the jockey pushed the horse and how
know how hard the jockey pushed the horse and howhard the horse tried. If you practice watching races
hard the horse tried. If you practice watching racesand do some trip handicapping, after a while you will
and do some trip handicapping, after a while you willhave a pretty good idea of how hard a horse was
have a pretty good idea of how hard a horse wasused and how hard it tried. Then you will have a better
used and how hard it tried. Then you will have a betteridea of the true class of a horse and can apply that to
idea of the true class of a horse and can apply that toyour betting success.
your betting success.Betting on horse races requires